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A Winner. Happy St. Patrick's (Weekend) Day

Keith Rosintoski's avatar
Keith Rosintoski
Mar 15, 2024
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Hey Bettors,

It's Friday, March 15th, beware the Ides. At least America came together yesterday, young and old...for this winning moment.

Thursday, March 14th Recap

SELECTION: XAVIER +15.5

RESULT: LOSS

Bet down to 14.5, Xavier jumped out to a 10-0 lead, it was 1 1-point game at the half, and then got outscored by a bazillion, losing by 27.

SELECTION: BYU -1.5

RESULT: LOSS

Bet up to -3.5, BYU could not have been worse, one of the best offenses in the country at one point missed 13 straight shots and 18 of 19, and it never got any better in the second half, they lost by 14 and it wasn't even that close.

SELECTION: IOWA ML

RESULT: LOSS

Ohio State made 11 of 20 3s and while close for a while, Ohio State never trailed.

SELECTION: BOSTON COLLEGE +3.5

RESULT: LOSS

This was probably the right side, as they led the majority of the game, the kid hits a buzzer-beater to force OT and they don't cover the number in OT, naturally.

SELECTION: EMMA NAVARRO

RESULT: LOSS

I did not watch this one, but the stats indicate Sakkari deserved to win as she did.

THE BETTING SLATE

College Hoop Conference tourneys winding down, and today's slate is the best day of basketball so far this season, on paper at least.

1230 PM EST UTEP VS SAM HOUSTON STATE -4.5 (-110) FANDUEL

I make this -2, so +4.5 on the dog is good value. Sam Houston did win both H2H matchups this season, but they weren't exactly convincing wins and only one of them would have covered today's number. On a neutral floor, the dog with the points is the play.

SELECTION: UTEP +4.5 (-110) FANDUEL

330 PM EST WICHITA STATE VS UAB -5.5 (-105) BETMGM

Wichita upset Memphis yesterday, but the market isn't excited about them. I make this game -2.5, anything north of a full possession is good value, with 5.5 (-115) being great value

SELECTION: WICHITA STATE +5.5 (-115) BETMGM

5 PM EST KENT STATE VS BOWLING GREEN +2 (-110) CAESARS

Kent State is a 2-point favorite, and I think they should be a -4-point favorite, if you can get -2 it's worth a play.

SELECTION: KENT STATE -2 (-110) CAESARS

9 PM EST SEATTLE VS GRAND CANYON +4.5 (-110)

Seattle looked awful good last night, and I make this game north of 2 possessions (-7) for Grand Canyon, and I think -4.5 offers fair value, but the ML probably offers the best value. Converting a -7 pt favorite to a Money Line, it comes out to around -300, they will not open anywhere near -300 when the ML does come out, making that the value play.

SELECTION: GRAND CANYON MONEY LINE

(THERE IS NO ML LINE YET AS I TYPE THIS, BUT IT'S +4.5 AT FANDUEL, SO THE ML WILL SURELY CHECK IN AROUND -175 OR SO. ANYTHING UP TO -200 IS MORE THAN PLAYABLE.

930 PM EST FLORIDA VS ALABAMA -3.5 (-110) FANDUEL

Perhaps, the game of the day, but I make Alabama about a -6.5 point favorite in this game, making the ML the value once again. Anything up to -200 is more than fine.

SELECTION: ALABAMA ML -200 OR BETTER

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